Daily NHL Betting Guide – 12/29/22

Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!

Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.

During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.

Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.

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You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:

I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.

The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on Betway odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.



  • Record: 57-37
  • Units: +28.30
  • ROI: +30.10%

Recommended Bets 💰

Tampa Bay Lightning (vs. NYR) ML -134

It seems like there’s a pretty good possibility that Andrei Vasilevskiy starts again on Thursday but the market appears prepped for a Brian Elliott vs. Igor Shesterkin battle. I’ll take this action and hope they do end up going back to Vasilevskiy and get big value on Tampa Bay -134. If it’s Elliott, it’s still not a terrible number, so it’s worth the risk for the potential value.

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1 Unit Bet: TBL -134

Colorado Avalanche (@ LAK) ML -138

The Avalanche are coming off of an embarrassing loss in Arizona on Tuesday and will look to get back on track vs. the Kings. Los Angeles is missing some key forwards again, with both Trevor Moore and Arthur Kaliyev still sidelined. Neither represents the same loss as missing Nathan MacKinnon and Valeri Nichushkin, but the model likes Colorado so much, that even an injury downgrade would still see them in play tonight.

1 Unit Bet: COL -138

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