Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
BETTING GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
- Record: 49-34
- Units: +23.39
- ROI: +28.17%
Washington Capitals (@ TOR) ML +125
The Capitals had their five-game winning streak snapped vs. the Stars on Thursday but they’ve been playing extremely well as of late, particularly their first line (Ovechkin-Strome-Sheary). They’ve won eight of their last 13 (8-4-1) on home ice and are nice value at +125. The model views Washington as +108 underdogs, so scoop them at +125 and hope they can solve their former teammate, Ilya Samsonov, who has back-to-back shutouts and has won five in a row.
1 Unit Bet: WSH +125
Colorado Avalanche (vs. NSH) ML -167
According to the model, the market continues to overvalue the Avalanche injuries. Colorado is at -167, but the model views them as massive -251 favourites. Colorado will shuffle their lines up tonight and look more like the team we saw earlier in the season, missing just Nathan MacKinnon, Bowen Byram, and Josh Manson. If you’re worried about Colorado’s injuries, you should also be worried about the Predators’ blueline, which is still missing Ryan McDonagh, Mark Borowiecki, Alexandre Carrier and Jeremy Lauzon. They’ve lost five in a row and have won just five of their 14 road games this season.
1 Unit Bet: COL -167
I’m a journalist who specializes in investigative reporting and writing. I have written for the New York Times and other publications.